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Aaron Schulman
Posts: 62
Takes score: 548
Followers: 10
Picks: 0%

Louisville vs Houston

11/13/2013 11:10pm
last edited:11/14/2013 1:55am
LOUISVILLE (-15.5) vs. Houston
I went against Houston last week unsuccessfully, but in this one I am calling for a complete blowout.  Houston managed to maintain their turnover luck last week against Central Florida, forcing UCF to turn it over on their first 2 possessions inside the Houston 10, and in the end Houston was able to stay within the #.  They will receive no such gifts from Teddy Bridgewater and Louisville who are 4th in the country in turnovers per game on offense with under 1 a game with Bridgewater having thrown only 3 INT's all season.  This is the same Houston defense I bashed last week with an empty ppg boosted by an unsustainable 3.6 turnovers forced (1st in the country) and 19.4 yards per point which is very high for a team who allows 425 yards per game.  Houston's pass defense is quite bad, allowing 277 yards per game with a very weak schedule of offenses whose top opponents have been Rice, Central Florida, and BYU.  Louisville is very well balanced with perimeter players in DeVante Parker and Damian Copeland with whom Houston can not match up, and they have a strong run game with a big offensive line and a stable of capable running backs led by the recently emerged Dominique Brown who is averaging 6.1 yards per carry.
I will not boast about Louisville's schedule as they have played a weak one themselves, however they have been absolutely dominant ranking 1st in the country in ppg allowed with only 10.6, and they are 2nd in rushing ypg allowed (78 ypg), 2nd in rushing yards per carry (2.55), 2nd in passing yards allowed (166 ypg), and 2nd in sacks (3.6 sacks per game).  We have seen what a good defensive team can do to limit the Houston offense when Central Florida held them to only 14 points last week despite coming into the game averaging 44 ppg.  Houston should have a difficult time accomplishing anything on the ground and through the air which will force them to make mistakes when they try to extend plays beyond their capabilities.  It also doesn't help that Houston is the most heavily penalized team in the country averaging 8.8 penalties per game.
Louisville gets their chance for a little redemption after losing to Central Florida in their last primetime home game, and on Saturday night I am calling for the blowout.  A comfortable 4+ touchdown victory for Louisville who need to build some momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.
1 comments

Wade Geraci
Posts: 50
Takes score: 2393
Picks: 48.1%
11/13/2013 11:32pm
last edited:11/13/2013 11:32pm

About 2/3's of the way through your post I said to myself, "This is a three touchdowns game."  .... and you say four.

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